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Showing posts with the label Danish Meteorological Institute

North Hole 2020?

Will there be open water at the North Pole in August 2020? Above images show, on the left, sea surface temperatures on August 4, 2020, with a forecast on the right for August 9, 2020. On the image at the left, the center of the Arctic Basin (pale-blue) still has a sea surface temperature below 0°C (or 32°F). Around that pale-blue area is a blue area where sea surface temperatures are 0 to 2°C (or 32 to 35.6°F). Seawater will freeze and stay frozen at about −2 °C (28 °F). The sea surface of the Arctic Ocean contains less salt, so the sea ice will stay frozen longer, even as temperatures rise, but it will melt at 0°C (or 32°F). As the images show, the blue area where sea surface temperatures are at or above 0°C (or 32°F), is encroaching upon the pale-blue area at the center of the Arctic Basin, and appears to reach the North Pole at August 9, 2020. Hat-tip to Albert Kallio for pointing at this. Above combination image shows the running twelve-month averages of global-mean (top) and Euro...