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Showing posts with the label CO₂-equivalent

The extreme rate of global warming: IPCC Oversights of future climate trends

by Andrew Glikson Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) reports and comprehensive summaries of the peer-reviewed literature raise questions regarding the assumptions inherent in computer modelling of future climate changes, including the supposed linearity of future global temperature trends (Figure 1). Figure 1. Global mean surface temperature increase as a function of cumulative total global carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) emissions from various lines of evidence.  IPCC Computer modelling does not necessarily capture the sensitivity, complexity and feedbacks of the atmosphere-ocean-land system as observed from paleoclimate studies. Underlying published IPCC computer models appears to be an assumption of mostly gradual or linear responses of the atmosphere to compositional variations. This overlooks self-amplifying effects and transient reversals associated with melting of the ice sheets.  Leading paleoclimate scientists have issued warnings regarding the high sensitivity ...